New Facts: Final Polls Show Lula and Bolsonaro Neck
Final polls on Sunday put President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead in first-round vote share but short of the majority needed to win outright. The race is too close to call, making a runoff likely. In a runoff, he and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are effectively tied.
Support breaks by income, with Lula stronger among low-income voters and Bolsonaro among wealthier voters. Prediction markets have swung toward Bolsonaro even as the polling edge in round one sits with Lula.
Synthesized from 18 sources
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AI-synthesized from multiple reported sources
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